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| ('espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/18186145/how-rob-gronkowski-injury-affects-patriots-nfl-playoff-picture-tight-end-future-2016-nfl', 39)   | Research I conducted before the season suggests Gronk was >>>the best red zone weapon in football on a per-play basis going back through 2006<<< .                                                                                                     |
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| ('espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/20199657/nfl-teams-likely-improve-decline-2017-season-bill-barnwell-pythagorean-expectation', 440)        | Research that I wrote up last year >>>pointed out that red zone performance is basically random from year to year<<< , although I did notice that the Giants were far better in the red zone in 2015 than they were elsewhere around the field , too . |
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| ('espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/20591865/bill-barnwell-2017-nfl-preview-case-all-32-teams-play-super-bowl-lii', 98)                       | An effective offense was brutally bad in the red zone last season , which is >>>essentially a fluke<<< ; with some regression toward the mean , Washington could win a lot of shootouts .                                                              |
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| ('espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/20845103/', 157)                                                                                          | It 's fair to note that the Packers also were terrible defending in the red zone last season , but last year 's red zone performance has >>>zero predictive value for what happens the following season<<< .                                           |
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| ('espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/21338186/the-real-mirage-outliers-2017-nfl-season-outlook-rest-year-bill-barnwell', 70)                   | What is n't quite as obvious , though , is that red zone performance >>>is n't remotely consistent from year to year<<< .                                                                                                                              |
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| ('espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/22590179/what-made-blake-bortles-extension-questionable-why-jacksonville-jaguars-all-nfl-2018', 77)       | That , too , is >>>difficult to pull off on a recurring basis<<< .                                                                                                                                                                                     |
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| ('espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/25701582', 135)                                                                                           | I 've looked at red zone performance several times in the past ( >>>most recently in 2016<<< ) and found that it tends to be remarkably inconsistent from year to year .                                                                               |
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| ('espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/27299239/predicting-nfl-teams-likeliest-decline-barnwell-picks-five-2019', 86)                            | Brees & Co. had averaged just under 5.0 points per red zone trip with Payton in the fold , >>>and red zone performance is generally inconsistent from year-to-year<<< .                                                                                |
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| ('espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/28074785/nfl-teams-players-most-likely-improve-decline-rest-2019-season', 131)                            | Those are the only three offenses in the league averaging fewer than four points per red zone trip on offense so far this season , >>>and red zone performance is inconsistent over any length of time<<< .                                            |
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| ('espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/28472520/how-survive-nfl-playoffs-how-ravens-failed-chiefs-came-back', 65)                                | History also tells us that >>>red zone performance is wildly inconsistent from year to year<<< , suggesting it 's more randomness and a small sample than anything else .                                                                              |
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| ('espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/28563798/five-teams-the-49ers-2020-all-similarities', 215)                                                | Red zone performance >>>is generally inconsistent from year to year<<< , so I would expect the Jaguars to be better inside the opposition 's 20 in 2020 .                                                                                              |
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| ('espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/28919127/grading-tom-brady-move-bucs-facts-fiction-fit-goat-tampa', 89)                                   | At the same time , though , >>>red zone performance is inconsistent from year to year<<< .                                                                                                                                                             |
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| ('espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/29113276/2020-nfl-draft-surprises-why-did-packers-eagles-draft-quarterbacks-jordan-love-jalen-hurts', 52) | Neither of those elements of the game are >>>particularly stable from year to year<<< .                                                                                                                                                                |
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| ('espn.com/nfl/story/_/page/BarnwellNFLPreview160818/oakland-raiders-qb-derek-carr-star-forget-help-nfl', 82)                       | I wrote last month that >>>red zone performance tends to be random from year to year<<< , and Carr 's two seasons embody that finding .                                                                                                                |
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| ('espn.com/nfl/story/_/page/BarnwellNFLPreview160824/carolina-panthers-qb-cam-newton-mvp-improve-nfl', 43)                          | As I wrote about earlier this summer , >>>red zone performance is remarkably inconsistent from year-to-year<<< .                                                                                                                                       |
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| ('espn.com/nfl/story/_/page/Barnwellx171002/2017-nfl-season-biggest-surprises-four-games-come-next-bill-barnwell', 33)              | I 'm >>>skeptical of the bend-but-don ' t-break defense as a concept<<< , but there are reasons to think the Bills can be a very good defense the rest of the way .                                                                                    |
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| ('espn.com/nfl/story/_/page/Barnwellx171009/lessons-winless-2017-new-york-giants-collapse-next-how-got-here-why-trouble-nfl', 97)   | Teams ca n't rely on being great in the red zone year after year , as there 's >>>too much randomness involved<<< in what 's a small sample of plays .                                                                                                 |
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